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No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. As such, traders are once again left to monitor comments from Donald Trump. However, the market has recently been largely indifferent to the U.S. President's remarks. Even speeches by central bank officials are currently having little impact, as markets already have a clear understanding of what to expect from monetary policymakers in the near future. The only moderate area of uncertainty lies in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, but even that remains relatively limited.
Very few fundamental events are scheduled for Tuesday, and nearly all of them lack the potential to influence the market meaningfully. Over the past several weeks, the financial community has heard extensive commentary from the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE), and U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)—leaving little ambiguity around the stance of all three institutions.
Today's speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde is unlikely to affect market sentiment. Remember that inflation in the eurozone rose more than expected in September, which implies that further monetary easing is off the table. However, the ECB was not inclined toward further rate cuts even before the latest inflation report. Therefore, the data didn't change anything in terms of policy expectations.
On this second trading day of the week, both major currency pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD) may remain trapped in low-volatility, sideways ranges.
However, it's important to keep in mind that overall market volatility is low, and the macroeconomic calendar is virtually empty. Therefore, significant price movements today are unlikely. Patience and disciplined risk management will be key for traders navigating this quiet period.
Major news events (always shown on economic calendars) can significantly impact currency movements. During critical news releases, trade with extreme caution—or exit the market entirely—to avoid abrupt reversals.
Remember: not every trade will be profitable. Developing a well-defined trading strategy and disciplined risk/money management are essential to achieving long-term success in forex trading.